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California at Utah

  Thursday Feb 23, 2012 - 9:00 pm - Salt Lake City, UT | Odds: California by 16.5, Total Points: 126.5 | Team Pages: CAL | UTAH

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAL UTAH
Points 70.4 71.0
Total Points   141.4
Points From 2-Pointers 22.0 32.1
Points From 3-Pointers 26.6 21.0
Points From Free Throws 21.8 17.9

Shooting CAL UTAH
Field Goals Made 19.9 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 52.5
Field Goal % 32.7% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 11.0 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 47.5 31.1
2 Point Shooting % 23.1% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 13.1 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 67.7% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 21.8 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 28.5 26.7
Free Throw % 76.5% 67.0%

Ball Control CAL UTAH
Rebounds 32.3 43.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.0 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 13.8
Turnovers 7.2 10.7
Blocked Shots 1.6 21.7
Steals 9.7 6.0
Fouls 13.6 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +2.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAL UTAH
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 70.1

% of Possessions with CAL UTAH
2 Point Attempt 54.7% 38.2%
3 Point Attempt 15.1% 26.2%
Player Fouled 21.0% 20.3%
Turnover 10.7% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 14.5%

Odds Per Shot Taken CAL UTAH
Shot Blocked 41.7% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 39.7%