Florida at Arkansas: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 18, 2012 6:00 pm - Fayetteville, AR
Odds: Florida by 5.5, Total Points: 146.5

More Games From Feb 18, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring FLA ARK
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting FLA ARK
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 64.2 58.7
Field Goal % 44.0% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 44.9 42.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 15.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 31.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 31.4 30.1
Free Throw % 73.2% 76.5%
Ball Control FLA ARK
Rebounds 42.5 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 7.8
Turnovers 9.5 10.2
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.8
Steals 6.0 5.9
Fouls 20.0 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FLA ARK
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with FLA ARK
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 20.5% 17.9%
Player Fouled 24.3% 25.4%
Turnover 12.1% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken FLA ARK
Shot Blocked 8.4% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 34.2% 21.4%