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Illinois at Indiana: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Feb 9, 2012 8:00 pm - Bloomington, IN
Odds: Indiana by 5.5, Total Points: 135.5

Matchup Menu: ILL @ IND

More Games From Feb 9, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ILL IND
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ILL IND
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 63.2 61.0
Field Goal % 43.1% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 47.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 13.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 32.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 18.5
Free Throw % 73.8% 65.9%
Ball Control ILL IND
Rebounds 41.1 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 8.4
Turnovers 7.5 8.4
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.2
Steals 5.0 3.7
Fouls 14.4 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ILL IND
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ILL IND
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 58.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 16.6%
Player Fouled 21.8% 20.0%
Turnover 10.5% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ILL IND
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 33.7% 23.3%