Air Force vs. New Mexico
Thursday Mar 8, 2012 -
9:00 pm -
Las Vegas, NV
(Neutral Site) |
Odds:
New Mexico by 14.5,
Total Points:
123.5
|
Team Pages:
AFA |
NMEX
Box Score Projection
| Shooting |
AFA |
NMEX |
| Field Goals Made |
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| Field Goals Attempted |
54.2 |
50.4 |
| Field Goal % |
41.0% |
47.0% |
| 2 Pointers Made |
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| 2 Pointers Attempted |
26.8 |
28.5 |
| 2 Point Shooting % |
44.0% |
57.5% |
| 3 Pointers Made |
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| 3 Pointers Attempted |
27.4 |
21.8 |
| 3 Point Shooting % |
38.0% |
33.3% |
| Free Throws Made |
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| Free Throws Attempted |
11.0 |
22.5 |
| Free Throw % |
71.5% |
69.6% |
| Ball Control |
AFA |
NMEX |
| Rebounds |
28.5 |
35.7 |
| Rebounds - Defensive |
21.5 |
26.4 |
| Rebounds - Offensive |
6.9 |
9.3 |
| Turnovers |
10.8 |
9.3 |
| Blocked Shots |
1.5 |
3.6 |
| Steals |
4.5 |
5.4 |
| Fouls |
16.8 |
12.3 |
Expected Effect: +1.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.
NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.
Tempo-Free Projection
| % of Possessions with |
AFA |
NMEX |
| 2 Point Attempt |
36.7% |
38.3% |
| 3 Point Attempt |
37.6% |
29.3% |
| Player Fouled |
19.0% |
26.0% |
| Turnover |
16.7% |
14.4% |
| Opponent Steal |
8.3% |
7.0% |
| Odds Per Shot Taken |
AFA |
NMEX |
| Shot Blocked |
7.2% |
2.8% |
| Offensive Rebound |
20.8% |
30.1% |