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Air Force vs. New Mexico

  Thursday Mar 8, 2012 - 9:00 pm - Las Vegas, NV (Neutral Site) | Odds: New Mexico by 14.5, Total Points: 123.5 | Team Pages: AFA | NMEX

Box Score Projection

Scoring AFA NMEX
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting AFA NMEX
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 49.0
Field Goal % 36.7% 50.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 30.5 30.2
2 Point Shooting % 39.5% 60.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 34.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 27.5
Free Throw % 68.9% 71.7%

Ball Control AFA NMEX
Rebounds 27.0 38.5
Rebounds - Defensive 19.5 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 9.5
Turnovers 10.4 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.2 5.1
Steals 5.0 5.4
Fouls 18.4 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AFA NMEX
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with AFA NMEX
2 Point Attempt 40.3% 39.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 24.5%
Player Fouled 22.0% 27.8%
Turnover 15.7% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 7.5%

Odds Per Shot Taken AFA NMEX
Shot Blocked 10.6% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 32.9%