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E Washingtn at Portland St

  Saturday Feb 25, 2012 - 10:05 pm - Portland, OR | Odds: Portland St. by 4, Total Points: 151 | Team Pages: EWSH | POST

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting EWSH POST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 58.1
Field Goal % 46.6% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 43.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 41.6% 43.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 20.3
Free Throw % 72.1% 73.9%

Ball Control EWSH POST
Rebounds 36.6 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 9.2
Turnovers 9.3 10.3
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.6
Steals 5.2 5.1
Fouls 15.8 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EWSH POST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with EWSH POST
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 22.1%
Player Fouled 22.9% 22.3%
Turnover 13.1% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken EWSH POST
Shot Blocked 8.0% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 25.8%