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Morehead St at TN State

  Wednesday Jan 11, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Nashville, TN | Odds: Tennessee St. by 5.5, Total Points: 128 | Team Pages: MORE | TNST

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MORE TNST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting MORE TNST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.0 43.0
Field Goal % 44.1% 39.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 30.4 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 41.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 12.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 33.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 27.6
Free Throw % 73.1% 62.7%

Ball Control MORE TNST
Rebounds 34.9 29.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 22.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 7.3
Turnovers 10.9 14.2
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.5
Steals 6.9 4.3
Fouls 20.5 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORE TNST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with MORE TNST
2 Point Attempt 38.8% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 16.6%
Player Fouled 26.4% 30.8%
Turnover 16.3% 21.2%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 10.3%

Odds Per Shot Taken MORE TNST
Shot Blocked 8.4% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 31.4% 22.7%