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NC Central at Oregon

  Tuesday Dec 20, 2011 - 10:00 pm - Eugene, OR | Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A | Team Pages: NCEN | ORE

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCEN ORE
Points 51.1 111.6
Total Points   162.7
Points From 2-Pointers 19.0 86.4
Points From 3-Pointers 16.0 9.8
Points From Free Throws 16.1 15.5

Shooting NCEN ORE
Field Goals Made 14.8 46.4
Field Goals Attempted 64.1 79.7
Field Goal % 23.1% 58.3%
2 Pointers Made 9.5 43.2
2 Pointers Attempted 45.8 63.5
2 Point Shooting % 20.8% 68.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 3.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 16.2
3 Point Shooting % 29.0% 20.1%
Free Throws Made 16.1 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.6 24.3
Free Throw % 65.5% 63.6%

Ball Control NCEN ORE
Rebounds 23.4 65.1
Rebounds - Defensive 12.0 38.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 26.9
Turnovers 17.3 9.5
Blocked Shots 0.4 23.4
Steals 6.6 9.7
Fouls 17.4 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: NC Central

Expected Effect: +3.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCEN ORE
Total Possessions 79.8
Effective Scoring Chances 73.9 97.2

% of Possessions with NCEN ORE
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 59.4%
3 Point Attempt 18.3% 15.1%
Player Fouled 20.1% 21.8%
Turnover 21.7% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 12.2% 8.2%

Odds Per Shot Taken NCEN ORE
Shot Blocked 29.4% 0.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 69.2%