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NC Central at Oregon

  Tuesday Dec 20, 2011 - 10:00 pm - Eugene, OR | Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A | Team Pages: NCEN | ORE

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCEN ORE
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting NCEN ORE
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 52.5
Field Goal % 40.7% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 34.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 20.8
Free Throw % 67.6% 77.8%

Ball Control NCEN ORE
Rebounds 30.6 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 9.6
Turnovers 10.5 9.5
Blocked Shots 1.7 4.6
Steals 4.4 4.4
Fouls 17.2 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCEN ORE
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with NCEN ORE
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 24.1%
Player Fouled 22.4% 26.2%
Turnover 16.0% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.7%

Odds Per Shot Taken NCEN ORE
Shot Blocked 8.8% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 30.8%