Morehead St at E Kentucky

  Saturday Feb 11, 2012 - 7:00 pm - Richmond, KY | Odds: Eastern Kentucky by 2, Total Points: 118 | Team Pages: MORE | EKY

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MORE EKY
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting MORE EKY
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 49.1 44.4
Field Goal % 45.1% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 29.6 25.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 58.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 33.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 25.1
Free Throw % 73.2% 77.2%

Ball Control MORE EKY
Rebounds 33.0 23.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 18.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 4.4
Turnovers 16.3 12.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.2
Steals 7.8 7.0
Fouls 21.3 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORE EKY
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with MORE EKY
2 Point Attempt 37.1% 35.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 25.7%
Player Fouled 22.5% 31.5%
Turnover 24.2% 18.7%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 11.5%

Odds Per Shot Taken MORE EKY
Shot Blocked 7.3% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 37.1% 16.6%