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Valparaiso at Ohio State

  Friday Nov 25, 2011 - 6:30 pm - Columbus, OH | Odds: Ohio St by 22.5, Total Points: 141 | Team Pages: VAPO | OHST

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting VAPO OHST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 54.3
Field Goal % 35.8% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 36.9% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 35.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 20.5
Free Throw % 68.4% 66.4%

Ball Control VAPO OHST
Rebounds 36.4 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 10.0
Turnovers 11.7 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.3 6.3
Steals 3.8 7.0
Fouls 15.4 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VAPO OHST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with VAPO OHST
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 23.4%
Player Fouled 20.7% 23.3%
Turnover 17.7% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 5.7%

Odds Per Shot Taken VAPO OHST
Shot Blocked 11.8% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 32.6% 29.6%