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Harvard vs. Utah

  Thursday Nov 24, 2011 - 9:30 pm - Nassau, (Neutral Site) | Odds: Harvard by 14.5, Total Points: 134.5 | Team Pages: HARV | UTAH

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting HARV UTAH
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 51.4 47.6
Field Goal % 34.1% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 31.6
2 Point Shooting % 35.8% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 13.5 16.1
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 42.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 19.7
Free Throw % 72.8% 71.1%

Ball Control HARV UTAH
Rebounds 30.3 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 20.6 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 8.1
Turnovers 9.7 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.0
Steals 5.4 4.6
Fouls 15.8 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HARV UTAH
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with HARV UTAH
2 Point Attempt 51.7% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 18.5% 22.6%
Player Fouled 21.7% 25.6%
Turnover 15.8% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 8.8%

Odds Per Shot Taken HARV UTAH
Shot Blocked 8.7% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 28.3%