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Harvard at Connecticut

  Thursday Dec 8, 2011 - 7:00 pm - Storrs, CT | Odds: Connecticut by 6.5, Total Points: 132.5 | Team Pages: HARV | CONN

Box Score Projection

Scoring HARV CONN
Points 36.3 31.8
Total Points   68.0
Points From 2-Pointers 6.1 13.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 10.3
Points From Free Throws 9.2 7.9

Shooting HARV CONN
Field Goals Made 10.0 10.2
Field Goals Attempted 46.3 63.0
Field Goal % 21.7% 16.2%
2 Pointers Made 3.0 6.8
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 50.5
2 Point Shooting % 9.6% 13.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 3.4
3 Pointers Attempted 14.7 12.4
3 Point Shooting % 47.7% 27.5%
Free Throws Made 9.2 7.9
Free Throws Attempted 11.9 8.7
Free Throw % 76.9% 90.9%

Ball Control HARV CONN
Rebounds 45.5 44.9
Rebounds - Defensive 43.7 36.2
Rebounds - Offensive 1.8 8.7
Turnovers 15.6 8.2
Blocked Shots 3.2 0.4
Steals 5.5 7.9
Fouls 9.7 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Harvard

Expected Effect: +4.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HARV CONN
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 53.7 68.1

% of Possessions with HARV CONN
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 65.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 16.0%
Player Fouled 21.3% 14.3%
Turnover 23.1% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 11.7% 8.1%

Odds Per Shot Taken HARV CONN
Shot Blocked 0.7% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 4.6% 16.6%