Harvard at Connecticut

  Thursday Dec 8, 2011 - 7:00 pm - Storrs, CT | Odds: Connecticut by 6.5, Total Points: 132.5 | Team Pages: HARV | CONN

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring HARV CONN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting HARV CONN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.0 51.0
Field Goal % 37.3% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 38.6% 44.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.1 15.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 33.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 17.0
Free Throw % 72.3% 68.0%

Ball Control HARV CONN
Rebounds 34.6 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 8.1
Turnovers 10.1 10.3
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.6
Steals 5.5 4.3
Fouls 14.1 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HARV CONN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with HARV CONN
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 20.0% 20.6%
Player Fouled 22.0% 22.2%
Turnover 15.9% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.7%

Odds Per Shot Taken HARV CONN
Shot Blocked 9.1% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 25.0%