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Houston vs. Oklahoma

  Saturday Dec 17, 2011 - 8:00 pm - Oklahoma City, OK (Neutral Site) | Odds: Oklahoma by 10, Total Points: 150.5 | Team Pages: HOU | OKLA

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU OKLA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting HOU OKLA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 56.5
Field Goal % 33.9% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 37.8% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 26.9 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.3% 36.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.6 20.1
Free Throw % 67.4% 75.4%

Ball Control HOU OKLA
Rebounds 34.2 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 11.4
Turnovers 12.0 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.9
Steals 4.7 6.6
Fouls 15.6 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU OKLA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with HOU OKLA
2 Point Attempt 39.3% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 32.9% 24.1%
Player Fouled 18.0% 23.1%
Turnover 17.8% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 6.9%

Odds Per Shot Taken HOU OKLA
Shot Blocked 7.1% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 30.6% 34.6%