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Vanderbilt at Alabama: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jan 19, 2012 7:00 pm - Tuscaloosa, AL
Odds: Alabama by 5, Total Points: 127.5

Matchup Menu: VAN @ ALA

More Games From Jan 19, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring VAN ALA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting VAN ALA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 62.2 64.7
Field Goal % 40.1% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 31.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 61.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 33.4
3 Point Shooting % 26.0% 40.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 20.0
Free Throw % 70.7% 76.4%
Ball Control VAN ALA
Rebounds 33.0 42.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 12.3
Turnovers 8.9 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.8
Steals 6.2 4.8
Fouls 15.3 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VAN ALA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with VAN ALA
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 35.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 37.7%
Player Fouled 22.6% 20.5%
Turnover 11.9% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken VAN ALA
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 35.5%