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Rob Morris at Toledo: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Mar 17, 2012 2:00 pm - Toledo, OH
Odds: Robert Morris by 3, Total Points: 137.5

Matchup Menu: RMU @ TOL

More Games From Mar 17, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring RMU TOL
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting RMU TOL
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 57.3
Field Goal % 46.5% 50.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 41.5
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.7 15.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 38.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.5 25.7
Free Throw % 69.8% 74.2%
Ball Control RMU TOL
Rebounds 34.5 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 8.8
Turnovers 12.8 8.7
Blocked Shots 3.6 1.7
Steals 4.3 6.5
Fouls 17.6 11.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RMU TOL
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with RMU TOL
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 19.1%
Player Fouled 16.3% 24.3%
Turnover 17.7% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken RMU TOL
Shot Blocked 3.0% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 32.2% 27.4%