Geo Wshgtn at Dayton: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Mar 3, 2012 12:00 pm - Dayton, OH
Odds: Dayton by 8.5, Total Points: 135.5

More Games From Mar 3, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring GW DAY
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting GW DAY
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 60.8
Field Goal % 41.0% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.2 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 27.8 26.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 42.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.0 16.7
Free Throw % 75.4% 74.7%
Ball Control GW DAY
Rebounds 32.7 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 29.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 8.4
Turnovers 9.9 7.7
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.0
Steals 4.6 5.4
Fouls 13.1 11.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GW DAY
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with GW DAY
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 35.2% 32.9%
Player Fouled 15.8% 18.7%
Turnover 14.2% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken GW DAY
Shot Blocked 6.6% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 25.0%