coin-dollar notification2 facebook2 twitter2

Nicholls St at Auburn

  Friday Nov 25, 2011 - 8:00 pm - Auburn, AL | Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A | Team Pages: NIST | AUB

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NIST AUB
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting NIST AUB
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 47.3 46.5
Field Goal % 43.0% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 30.3 30.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 46.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.1 15.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 38.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 40.1
Free Throw % 64.4% 66.3%

Ball Control NIST AUB
Rebounds 32.3 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 10.5
Turnovers 18.2 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.9
Steals 5.9 8.6
Fouls 25.0 19.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIST AUB
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with NIST AUB
2 Point Attempt 36.8% 36.6%
3 Point Attempt 20.8% 18.5%
Player Fouled 26.9% 34.6%
Turnover 25.1% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 8.1%

Odds Per Shot Taken NIST AUB
Shot Blocked 6.2% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 30.8%