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Nicholls vs. TX-Arlington: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Mar 7, 2012 7:00 pm - Katy, TX (Neutral Site)
Odds: Texas-Arlington by 14, Total Points: 145

Matchup Menu: NICH @ UTA

More Games From Mar 7, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NICH UTA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NICH UTA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 56.3
Field Goal % 41.3% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.5% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 34.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.5 28.0
Free Throw % 72.4% 73.6%
Ball Control NICH UTA
Rebounds 31.1 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 11.8
Turnovers 13.5 12.4
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.4
Steals 6.5 7.3
Fouls 19.4 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NICH UTA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NICH UTA
2 Point Attempt 39.1% 34.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 29.4%
Player Fouled 25.0% 26.0%
Turnover 18.1% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken NICH UTA
Shot Blocked 8.0% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 34.2%