Nicholls St at McNeese St

  Saturday Feb 25, 2012 - 4:00 pm - Lake Charles, LA | Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A | Team Pages: NIST | MNST

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NIST MNST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting NIST MNST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.9 57.0
Field Goal % 42.0% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 45.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 25.9% 30.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 24.0
Free Throw % 63.9% 65.3%

Ball Control NIST MNST
Rebounds 36.6 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 12.7
Turnovers 14.2 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.8
Steals 5.6 8.5
Fouls 16.3 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIST MNST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with NIST MNST
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 21.7%
Player Fouled 24.3% 23.2%
Turnover 20.1% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 12.1% 7.9%

Odds Per Shot Taken NIST MNST
Shot Blocked 6.8% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 32.8%