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Central Mich at Iowa St: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Dec 18, 2011 2:00 pm - Ames, IA
Odds: Iowa State by 16, Total Points: 143.5

Matchup Menu: CMU @ ISU

More Games From Dec 18, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CMU ISU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CMU ISU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.5 62.0
Field Goal % 36.0% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 29.5 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 44.2% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 25.6% 33.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 20.8
Free Throw % 67.1% 70.8%
Ball Control CMU ISU
Rebounds 33.3 40.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 13.9
Turnovers 15.4 7.6
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.1
Steals 4.4 8.6
Fouls 15.0 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CMU ISU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CMU ISU
2 Point Attempt 37.2% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 25.8%
Player Fouled 19.4% 21.9%
Turnover 22.5% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 12.6% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CMU ISU
Shot Blocked 6.8% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 36.7%