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Coastal Car at NC-Asheville

  Tuesday Jan 17, 2012 - 7:00 pm - Asheville, NC | Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A | Team Pages: CCAR | UNCA

Box Score Projection

Scoring CCAR UNCA
Points 84.9 75.8
Total Points   160.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 33.1
Points From 3-Pointers 4.2 14.0
Points From Free Throws 42.7 28.7

Shooting CCAR UNCA
Field Goals Made 20.4 21.2
Field Goals Attempted 41.1 53.5
Field Goal % 49.6% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 26.0 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 72.9% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 1.4 4.7
3 Pointers Attempted 15.1 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 9.4% 22.5%
Free Throws Made 42.7 28.7
Free Throws Attempted 51.7 34.9
Free Throw % 82.6% 82.3%

Ball Control CCAR UNCA
Rebounds 34.7 27.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 18.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 9.0
Turnovers 13.1 11.6
Blocked Shots 1.0 2.1
Steals 6.9 1.1
Fouls 21.3 25.3

Playing Style Advantage: Coastal Car

Expected Effect: +5.0 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CCAR UNCA
Total Possessions 77.9
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 75.3

% of Possessions with CCAR UNCA
2 Point Attempt 30.1% 37.6%
3 Point Attempt 17.5% 23.7%
Player Fouled 32.5% 27.3%
Turnover 16.8% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 1.4% 8.9%

Odds Per Shot Taken CCAR UNCA
Shot Blocked 4.0% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 24.9%