Virginia at NC State

  Saturday Jan 28, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Raleigh, NC | Odds: N.C. State by 2, Total Points: 122.5 | Team Pages: UVA | NCST

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVA NCST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting UVA NCST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 51.8
Field Goal % 38.9% 34.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 43.7 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 39.4% 36.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 13.0 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 31.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 17.6
Free Throw % 72.8% 69.7%

Ball Control UVA NCST
Rebounds 40.5 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 7.3
Turnovers 6.9 7.6
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.2
Steals 3.8 3.2
Fouls 15.4 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVA NCST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with UVA NCST
2 Point Attempt 58.2% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 17.3% 24.9%
Player Fouled 22.1% 24.8%
Turnover 11.1% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 6.1%

Odds Per Shot Taken UVA NCST
Shot Blocked 8.4% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.8% 20.0%