Virginia at NC State
Saturday Jan 28, 2012 -
8:00 pm -
Raleigh, NC
|
Odds:
N.C. State by 2,
Total Points:
122.5
|
Team Pages:
UVA |
NCST
Box Score Projection
| Shooting |
UVA |
NCST |
| Field Goals Made |
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| Field Goals Attempted |
56.3 |
52.2 |
| Field Goal % |
44.1% |
45.1% |
| 2 Pointers Made |
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| 2 Pointers Attempted |
38.6 |
38.4 |
| 2 Point Shooting % |
49.3% |
47.8% |
| 3 Pointers Made |
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| 3 Pointers Attempted |
17.6 |
13.7 |
| 3 Point Shooting % |
32.5% |
37.4% |
| Free Throws Made |
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| Free Throws Attempted |
15.8 |
19.8 |
| Free Throw % |
71.2% |
67.7% |
| Ball Control |
UVA |
NCST |
| Rebounds |
32.2 |
33.7 |
| Rebounds - Defensive |
23.1 |
24.8 |
| Rebounds - Offensive |
9.1 |
8.9 |
| Turnovers |
9.3 |
11.0 |
| Blocked Shots |
4.2 |
3.1 |
| Steals |
4.8 |
5.2 |
| Fouls |
15.0 |
12.6 |
Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.
NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.
Tempo-Free Projection
| % of Possessions with |
UVA |
NCST |
| 2 Point Attempt |
50.6% |
50.1% |
| 3 Point Attempt |
23.1% |
17.9% |
| Player Fouled |
19.1% |
22.6% |
| Turnover |
14.0% |
16.6% |
| Opponent Steal |
7.9% |
7.3% |
| Odds Per Shot Taken |
UVA |
NCST |
| Shot Blocked |
6.0% |
7.6% |
| Offensive Rebound |
26.8% |
27.9% |