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Louisville vs. Kentucky
The chart above graphs odds data from Pinnacle Sports
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2006-2007 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2126 games where the closing line favored the home team by 7.5 to 9.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Kentucky won the game 1711 times (80.5%)
- The team like Louisville won the game 415 times (19.5%)
- The team like Kentucky did better against the spread,
going 1063-1030-33 (50.8% ATS).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2008-2009 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4212 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 2113-2013-86 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.