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Louisville at Syracuse

  Saturday Mar 3, 2012 - 4:00 pm - Syracuse, NY | Odds: Syracuse by 8.5, Total Points: 133 | Team Pages: LOU | SYR

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LOU SYR
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting LOU SYR
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 55.6
Field Goal % 39.8% 37.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 44.8% 41.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 16.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 26.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 19.4
Free Throw % 69.4% 65.4%

Ball Control LOU SYR
Rebounds 39.2 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 11.7
Turnovers 11.3 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.4
Steals 6.8 6.8
Fouls 14.4 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LOU SYR
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with LOU SYR
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 20.6%
Player Fouled 20.0% 21.3%
Turnover 16.7% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 10.1%

Odds Per Shot Taken LOU SYR
Shot Blocked 6.2% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 33.7% 30.6%