Louisville at W Virginia

  Saturday Feb 11, 2012 - 12:00 pm - Morgantown, WV | Odds: West Virginia by 3, Total Points: 135.5 | Team Pages: LOU | WVIR

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LOU WVIR
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting LOU WVIR
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 45.6 59.1
Field Goal % 49.9% 33.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.3 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 37.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 13.3 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 25.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 28.5 24.1
Free Throw % 67.6% 64.9%

Ball Control LOU WVIR
Rebounds 36.1 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 19.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 16.6
Turnovers 15.7 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.3
Steals 5.9 8.5
Fouls 18.0 21.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LOU WVIR
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with LOU WVIR
2 Point Attempt 40.1% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 16.6% 22.2%
Player Fouled 30.7% 25.5%
Turnover 22.2% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 12.1% 8.3%

Odds Per Shot Taken LOU WVIR
Shot Blocked 3.9% 9.3%
Offensive Rebound 31.8% 38.0%