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Lamar at Texas State

  Wednesday Feb 29, 2012 - 8:00 pm - San Marcos, TX | Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A | Team Pages: LAMR | TXST

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting LAMR TXST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 48.9 49.8
Field Goal % 41.5% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 30.4 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 43.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 14.5
3 Point Shooting % 28.8% 34.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 25.4
Free Throw % 68.2% 69.2%

Ball Control LAMR TXST
Rebounds 35.2 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 21.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 9.4
Turnovers 16.0 12.3
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.3
Steals 5.8 7.6
Fouls 19.0 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAMR TXST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with LAMR TXST
2 Point Attempt 38.1% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 18.2%
Player Fouled 22.4% 27.8%
Turnover 23.4% 18.1%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 8.5%

Odds Per Shot Taken LAMR TXST
Shot Blocked 4.8% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 33.0% 27.8%