Stanford at USC: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Feb 12, 2012 7:30 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Stanford by 6, Total Points: 113.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring STAN USC
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting STAN USC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 62.3
Field Goal % 44.3% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 37.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 16.4
Free Throw % 73.9% 69.5%
Ball Control STAN USC
Rebounds 34.6 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 9.1
Turnovers 13.6 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.0
Steals 5.4 8.0
Fouls 13.5 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STAN USC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with STAN USC
2 Point Attempt 39.0% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 27.7%
Player Fouled 19.9% 18.1%
Turnover 18.3% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken STAN USC
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 25.2%