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S Florida vs. California: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Mar 14, 2012 9:00 pm - Dayton, OH (Neutral Site)
Odds: California by 3.5, Total Points: 114

Matchup Menu: USF @ CAL

More Games From Mar 14, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring USF CAL
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting USF CAL
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 61.4
Field Goal % 42.6% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 32.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 19.6
Free Throw % 72.6% 73.2%
Ball Control USF CAL
Rebounds 35.7 40.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 11.3
Turnovers 8.8 10.4
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.5
Steals 5.4 5.1
Fouls 14.7 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USF CAL
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with USF CAL
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 30.0%
Player Fouled 22.4% 20.2%
Turnover 12.2% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken USF CAL
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 29.1%