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Samford at Kentucky

  Tuesday Dec 20, 2011 - 7:00 pm - Lexington, KY | Odds: Kentucky by 33.5, Total Points: 136 | Team Pages: SAMF | KENT

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAMF KENT
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting SAMF KENT
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 50.2
Field Goal % 30.5% 58.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 32.2% 62.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 10.9
3 Point Shooting % 26.6% 43.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 31.9
Free Throw % 68.9% 73.1%

Ball Control SAMF KENT
Rebounds 23.2 42.9
Rebounds - Defensive 14.3 31.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 11.8
Turnovers 12.7 9.5
Blocked Shots 1.4 7.8
Steals 4.1 6.6
Fouls 19.9 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAMF KENT
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with SAMF KENT
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 21.2% 13.5%
Player Fouled 22.1% 29.3%
Turnover 18.7% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 6.0%

Odds Per Shot Taken SAMF KENT
Shot Blocked 15.7% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 45.2%