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Drake at S Illinois

  Wednesday Jan 18, 2012 - 8:05 pm - Carbondale, IL | Odds: Southern Illinois by 2.5, Total Points: 142.5 | Team Pages: DRKE | SILL

Box Score Projection

Scoring DRKE SILL
Points 60.8 84.6
Total Points   145.4
Points From 2-Pointers 27.1 55.2
Points From 3-Pointers 16.4 17.6
Points From Free Throws 17.2 11.8

Shooting DRKE SILL
Field Goals Made 19.0 33.5
Field Goals Attempted 42.9 45.7
Field Goal % 44.3% 73.2%
2 Pointers Made 13.6 27.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 40.2% 83.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 9.2 12.7
3 Point Shooting % 59.3% 46.1%
Free Throws Made 17.2 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 25.4 17.6
Free Throw % 67.8% 67.2%

Ball Control DRKE SILL
Rebounds 17.1 28.1
Rebounds - Defensive 12.1 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 4.9 3.7
Turnovers 12.0 13.5
Blocked Shots 1.1 -1.0
Steals 3.6 8.7
Fouls 13.1 24.4

Playing Style Advantage: S Illinois

Expected Effect: +1.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DRKE SILL
Total Possessions 66.4
Effective Scoring Chances 59.3 56.6

% of Possessions with DRKE SILL
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 13.0% 18.0%
Player Fouled 36.8% 19.7%
Turnover 18.1% 20.4%
Opponent Steal 13.1% 5.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken DRKE SILL
Shot Blocked -2.3% 2.6%
Offensive Rebound 16.8% 23.5%