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Citadel at James Mad: Box Score Simulation

Monday Dec 19, 2011 7:00 pm - Harrisonburg, VA
Odds: James Madison by 17.5, Total Points: 147

Matchup Menu: CIT @ JMU

More Games From Dec 19, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CIT JMU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CIT JMU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.6 60.2
Field Goal % 43.8% 52.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 61.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.7 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 37.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 16.8
Free Throw % 71.4% 69.7%
Ball Control CIT JMU
Rebounds 30.6 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 8.7
Turnovers 13.6 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.1
Steals 4.4 8.7
Fouls 13.5 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CIT JMU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CIT JMU
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 28.9%
Player Fouled 22.5% 19.0%
Turnover 19.2% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 12.2% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CIT JMU
Shot Blocked 6.9% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 27.5%