Santa Clara vs. Villanova

  Sunday Nov 27, 2011 - 6:30 pm - Anaheim, CA (Neutral Site) | Odds: Villanova by 8.5, Total Points: 142 | Team Pages: SCLAR | VILA

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCLAR VILA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting SCLAR VILA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.7 48.3
Field Goal % 37.1% 52.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 27.8
2 Point Shooting % 40.9% 57.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 44.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.0 26.8
Free Throw % 73.1% 72.4%

Ball Control SCLAR VILA
Rebounds 26.8 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 17.9 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 9.8
Turnovers 11.8 8.5
Blocked Shots 1.4 3.9
Steals 3.8 6.4
Fouls 18.6 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCLAR VILA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with SCLAR VILA
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 37.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 27.6%
Player Fouled 21.6% 29.1%
Turnover 18.6% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 5.9%

Odds Per Shot Taken SCLAR VILA
Shot Blocked 8.2% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 35.5%