Alcorn St at Tulane: Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 25, 2011 8:00 pm - New Orleans, LA
Odds: Tulane by 21, Total Points: 142

More Games From Nov 25, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALCN TULN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ALCN TULN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 63.5 53.5
Field Goal % 41.8% 55.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 45.5 29.4
2 Point Shooting % 44.4% 66.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 40.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 27.7
Free Throw % 72.2% 71.6%
Ball Control ALCN TULN
Rebounds 36.2 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 5.7
Turnovers 10.1 9.4
Blocked Shots 1.9 4.2
Steals 5.6 6.1
Fouls 18.6 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALCN TULN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ALCN TULN
2 Point Attempt 51.4% 36.7%
3 Point Attempt 20.3% 30.1%
Player Fouled 19.6% 25.2%
Turnover 13.8% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALCN TULN
Shot Blocked 8.0% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 32.9% 19.8%