coin-dollar notification2 facebook2 twitter2

Purdue vs. Alabama

  Sunday Nov 20, 2011 - 8:00 pm - San Juan, PR (Neutral Site) | Odds: Alabama by 2.5, Total Points: 132.5 | Team Pages: PURD | ALA

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PURD ALA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting PURD ALA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.5 49.4
Field Goal % 41.1% 40.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 32.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 45.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 32.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.1 25.3
Free Throw % 67.4% 70.3%

Ball Control PURD ALA
Rebounds 36.3 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 9.1
Turnovers 10.9 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.2
Steals 4.0 6.6
Fouls 18.5 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PURD ALA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with PURD ALA
2 Point Attempt 40.1% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 22.4%
Player Fouled 28.3% 28.2%
Turnover 16.7% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 6.2%

Odds Per Shot Taken PURD ALA
Shot Blocked 6.6% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 34.1% 27.1%