This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2023-24 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2024-25 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

Creighton at Missouri St: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jan 18, 2012 8:05 pm - Springfield, MO
Odds: Creighton by 2, Total Points: 144.5

Matchup Menu: CREI @ MOSU

More Games From Jan 18, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CREI MOSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CREI MOSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 63.5 68.6
Field Goal % 46.2% 38.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 50.8
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 41.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 30.8 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 29.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.3 10.3
Free Throw % 80.8% 70.3%
Ball Control CREI MOSU
Rebounds 41.2 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 33.1 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 10.1
Turnovers 7.6 7.1
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.4
Steals 3.5 3.7
Fouls 9.8 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CREI MOSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CREI MOSU
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 61.2%
3 Point Attempt 38.2% 21.5%
Player Fouled 18.2% 13.8%
Turnover 10.7% 10.0%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 4.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CREI MOSU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 23.4%