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N Dakota St at IPFW

  Thursday Jan 26, 2012 - 7:00 pm - Fort Wayne, IN | Odds: North Dakota State by 5, Total Points: 141.5 | Team Pages: NDST | IPFW

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting NDST IPFW
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 50.1
Field Goal % 43.7% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 36.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.7 17.8
Free Throw % 68.9% 69.8%

Ball Control NDST IPFW
Rebounds 32.4 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 5.7
Turnovers 8.1 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.0
Steals 3.8 3.9
Fouls 15.0 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NDST IPFW
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with NDST IPFW
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 25.6%
Player Fouled 22.0% 23.5%
Turnover 12.6% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 5.9%

Odds Per Shot Taken NDST IPFW
Shot Blocked 4.1% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 18.3%