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Dartmouth at Notre Dame

  Saturday Dec 10, 2011 - 7:30 pm - South Bend, IN | Odds: Notre Dame by 18, Total Points: 130 | Team Pages: DART | NDAM

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting DART NDAM
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 48.2
Field Goal % 40.3% 54.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 29.6
2 Point Shooting % 44.3% 61.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 43.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 12.2 23.7
Free Throw % 63.2% 74.6%

Ball Control DART NDAM
Rebounds 29.4 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 18.6 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 7.1
Turnovers 11.2 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.0
Steals 6.0 6.3
Fouls 16.9 11.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DART NDAM
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with DART NDAM
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 25.6%
Player Fouled 18.0% 26.3%
Turnover 17.4% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 9.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken DART NDAM
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.4% 27.7%