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Oregon St at Arizona

  Thursday Jan 12, 2012 - 8:30 pm - Tucson, AZ | Odds: Arizona by 5, Total Points: 146.5 | Team Pages: ORST | ARIZ

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORST ARIZ
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting ORST ARIZ
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 47.2 45.9
Field Goal % 36.0% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 31.0
2 Point Shooting % 38.5% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 14.6 14.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 32.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 29.5
Free Throw % 67.6% 73.4%

Ball Control ORST ARIZ
Rebounds 24.7 38.9
Rebounds - Defensive 19.0 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 5.7 11.2
Turnovers 12.7 11.8
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.2
Steals 5.7 7.3
Fouls 19.1 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORST ARIZ
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with ORST ARIZ
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 20.3% 19.2%
Player Fouled 24.9% 29.4%
Turnover 19.5% 18.1%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 8.7%

Odds Per Shot Taken ORST ARIZ
Shot Blocked 7.1% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 16.9% 37.0%