Mercer at Stetson

  Saturday Jan 28, 2012 - 3:15 pm - De Land, FL | Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A | Team Pages: MERC | STET

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MERC STET
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting MERC STET
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 50.6
Field Goal % 43.7% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 36.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 15.9
Free Throw % 67.8% 66.0%

Ball Control MERC STET
Rebounds 39.1 29.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 22.5
Rebounds - Offensive 14.8 6.7
Turnovers 7.7 11.7
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.9
Steals 6.2 3.0
Fouls 14.2 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MERC STET
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with MERC STET
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 25.0%
Player Fouled 22.2% 21.7%
Turnover 11.7% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 4.7% 9.5%

Odds Per Shot Taken MERC STET
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 39.8% 21.7%