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Cincinnati at Xavier

  Saturday Dec 10, 2011 - 12:30 pm - Cincinnati, OH | Odds: Xavier by 7.5, Total Points: 126 | Team Pages: CIN | XAV

Box Score Projection

Scoring CIN XAV
Points 40.4 55.2
Total Points   95.6
Points From 2-Pointers 11.0 12.7
Points From 3-Pointers 15.1 31.2
Points From Free Throws 14.4 11.3

Shooting CIN XAV
Field Goals Made 10.5 16.8
Field Goals Attempted 52.8 61.7
Field Goal % 19.9% 27.2%
2 Pointers Made 5.5 6.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 16.1% 18.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 10.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 26.8
3 Point Shooting % 26.8% 38.9%
Free Throws Made 14.4 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 14.9
Free Throw % 68.5% 75.7%

Ball Control CIN XAV
Rebounds 37.5 54.6
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 36.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 17.8
Turnovers 10.4 11.6
Blocked Shots 2.0 4.9
Steals 7.2 4.9
Fouls 17.4 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Xavier

Expected Effect: +1.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CIN XAV
Total Possessions 66.8
Effective Scoring Chances 64.9 73.0

% of Possessions with CIN XAV
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 31.3%
Player Fouled 25.7% 26.0%
Turnover 15.5% 17.4%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 10.7%

Odds Per Shot Taken CIN XAV
Shot Blocked 8.0% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 18.8% 38.0%