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Wisconsin at Purdue

  Thursday Jan 12, 2012 - 7:00 pm - West Lafayette, IN | Odds: Purdue by 2.5, Total Points: 115 | Team Pages: WISC | PURD

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting WISC PURD
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.4 53.8
Field Goal % 44.3% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 44.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 13.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 36.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 13.2
Free Throw % 78.2% 67.4%

Ball Control WISC PURD
Rebounds 33.7 31.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 22.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 8.9
Turnovers 6.0 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.4
Steals 4.9 3.2
Fouls 12.2 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WISC PURD
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with WISC PURD
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 55.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 19.0%
Player Fouled 27.4% 19.6%
Turnover 9.7% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 7.8%

Odds Per Shot Taken WISC PURD
Shot Blocked 4.5% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.5% 26.7%