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Lg Beach St at Montana: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 26, 2011 9:00 pm - Missoula, MT
Odds: Long Beach St. by 3.5, Total Points: 137

Matchup Menu: LBSU @ MONT

More Games From Nov 26, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LBSU MONT
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting LBSU MONT
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 59.5
Field Goal % 44.0% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 47.4 30.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.5% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 13.5 28.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 39.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.3 16.1
Free Throw % 71.5% 80.1%
Ball Control LBSU MONT
Rebounds 39.5 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 7.1
Turnovers 8.0 10.3
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.4
Steals 6.4 4.0
Fouls 14.1 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LBSU MONT
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with LBSU MONT
2 Point Attempt 55.5% 38.3%
3 Point Attempt 15.8% 35.5%
Player Fouled 23.2% 19.7%
Turnover 11.1% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LBSU MONT
Shot Blocked 4.2% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 33.0% 20.8%