NBA Playoffs Matchup Predictor - E3 Indiana vs. E1 Miami

Project Series:

VS

Current Series Win Odds

Miami currently has 82.2% odds to win this series.

Winner/Length Odds Of Projected Series


Similar Historical Results

Since the 2003-2004 season, there have been 29 games where the 3 seed played against the 1 seed. In those games:

  • The 3 seed has a straight up record of 12-17-0 (The 1 seed is 17-12-0 straight up)
  • The 3 seed has a record against the spread of 16-13-0 (The 1 seed is 13-16-0 ATS)
  • The game went over the total 12 times, under 17 times, and pushed 0 times

Regular Season Performance : Indiana 2-1 Miami

Date Winner HAN Score ATS O/U
Sun 3/10 Miami Home 105-91 Miami -6.5 Over 188.0
Fri 2/1 Indiana Home 102-89 Indiana +2.0 Over 184.5
Tue 1/8 Indiana Home 87-77 Indiana +2.0 Under 187.0

Indiana Pacers Stats vs. Miami Heat

Pts/Gm Reb/Gm Ast/Gm
Player vsMIA All %dif vsMIA All %dif vsMIA All %dif
David West 23.5 17.0 38.2% 7.0 7.5 -7.2% 2.5 2.8 -10.8%
Paul George 20.2 17.8 14.1% 6.8 7.7 -12.0% 4.5 4.3 5.3%
Roy Hibbert 12.0 12.2 -1.8% 8.2 8.4 -2.3% 1.0 1.4 -30.8%
Lance Stephenson 10.2 8.9 15.0% 5.5 4.5 20.9% 2.5 2.9 -14.5%
Tyler Hansbrough 8.0 6.7 19.9% 3.2 4.5 -27.1% 0.2 0.4 -41.3%
D.J. Augustin 7.5 5.0 50.0% 1.2 1.2 7.0% 2.8 2.0 36.0%
George Hill 6.0 14.2 -57.9% 2.0 3.8 -47.8% 4.0 4.7 -14.1%
Ian Mahinmi 3.2 4.6 -28.8% 3.5 3.7 -6.1% 0.0 0.3 -100.0%
Orlando Johnson 3.0 3.6 -15.7% 1.2 1.9 -34.2% 0.5 0.8 -37.2%
Gerald Green 1.8 7.0 -75.2% 1.0 2.3 -55.6% 0.0 0.8 -100.0%
Sam Young 0.0 2.6 -100.0% 1.7 2.1 -20.9% 0.3 0.7 -51.9%

Miami Heat Stats vs. Indiana Pacers

Pts/Gm Reb/Gm Ast/Gm
Player vsIND All %dif vsIND All %dif vsIND All %dif
LeBron James 23.2 26.5 -12.4% 8.0 8.0 0.3% 6.0 7.3 -17.7%
Dwyane Wade 22.2 20.3 9.4% 4.8 5.0 -4.5% 4.0 5.1 -22.0%
Chris Bosh 17.0 16.3 4.4% 3.0 6.9 -56.4% 2.0 1.6 21.7%
Mario Chalmers 11.5 8.5 35.4% 3.0 2.2 33.8% 2.2 3.6 -37.3%
Chris Andersen 10.3 5.5 87.9% 3.3 4.0 -17.5% 0.7 0.4 73.3%
Shane Battier 4.0 6.4 -37.5% 1.2 2.2 -44.3% 0.5 0.9 -46.8%
Ray Allen 3.8 11.0 -65.8% 1.5 2.8 -45.5% 1.8 1.7 5.2%
Norris Cole 1.8 5.8 -70.1% 2.2 1.7 29.8% 1.0 2.0 -51.1%
Udonis Haslem 1.5 4.1 -63.4% 4.2 5.2 -19.0% 1.2 0.5 147.1%
Mike Miller 0.8 4.6 -83.6% 0.5 2.6 -80.5% 0.2 1.7 -84.9%
Joel Anthony 0.0 1.3 -100.0% 0.2 1.8 -86.0% 0.0 0.2 -100.0%

Upcoming Games

Indiana +7.5 8:30PM
Miami 180.5 Fri 05/24
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Miami -- 8:30PM
Indiana -- Sun 05/26
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Miami -- 8:30PM
Indiana -- Tue 05/28
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Indiana -- 8:30PM
Miami -- Thu 05/30
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Miami -- 8:30PM
Indiana -- Sat 06/01
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Indiana -- 8:30PM
Miami -- Mon 06/03
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Team Power Ratings

Rating IND adv MIA
Overall 103.0 (#8) 108.7 (#1)
Predictive 102.5 (#8) 105.8 (#1)
Last 10 Games 106.1 (#4) 111.7 (#1)
Away Games 101.8 (#11) 109.1 (#1)
Home Games 104.4 (#7) 108.0 (#2)
Conference Games 102.5 (#10) 107.3 (#1)
Non-Conf Games 103.8 (#7) 111.5 (#1)
Schedule Strength 100.4 (#10) 99.9 (#23)

Offensive Stat Comparison

IND MIA
Points/Game 94.5 102.5
Avg Score Margin +3.8 +8.4
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 11.1 12.0
Pts in Paint/Gm 39.9 41.6
Assists/Game 20.0 23.1
Total Rebounds/Gm 54.7 46.8
Effective FG % 47.7% 55.1%
Off Rebound % 30.5% 22.7%
FTA/FGA 0.305 0.304
Turnover % 14.3% 13.7%

Defensive Stat Comparison

IND MIA
Opp Points/Game 90.7 94.1
Opp Effective FG % 45.5% 48.4%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 35.5 39.5
Off Rebounds/Gm 12.9 8.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 33.1 30.3
Blocks/Game 6.1 5.4
Steals/Game 7.0 8.7
Personal Fouls/Gm 20.3 19.1