NBA Playoffs Matchup Predictor - E4 Chicago vs. E2 Miami

Project Series:

VS

Current Series Win Odds

Miami currently has 66.4% odds to win this series.

Winner/Length Odds Of Projected Series


Similar Historical Results

Since the 2003-2004 season, there have been 25 games where the 4 seed played against the 2 seed. In those games:

  • The 4 seed has a straight up record of 13-12-0 (The 2 seed is 12-13-0 straight up)
  • The 4 seed has a record against the spread of 15-10-0 (The 2 seed is 10-15-0 ATS)
  • The game went over the total 11 times, under 14 times, and pushed 0 times

Regular Season Performance : Miami 2-2 Chicago

Date Winner HAN Score ATS O/U
Sun 3/9 Chicago Home 95-88 Chicago +4.5 Under 186.0
Sun 2/23 Miami Home 93-79 Miami -5.0 Under 184.5
Thu 12/5 Chicago Home 107-87 Chicago +4.5 Over 187.5
Tue 10/29 Miami Home 107-95 Miami -5.0 Over 188.5

Chicago Bulls Stats vs. Miami Heat

Pts/Gm Reb/Gm Ast/Gm
Player vsMIA All %dif vsMIA All %dif vsMIA All %dif
Carlos Boozer 18.8 13.7 37.1% 6.8 8.3 -18.9% 2.2 1.5 45.6%
Joakim Noah 14.8 12.6 17.5% 13.2 11.2 17.9% 3.8 5.4 -30.2%
Taj Gibson 14.0 13.0 7.5% 8.5 6.8 25.1% 1.8 1.1 59.6%
Derrick Rose 12.0 15.9 -24.5% 1.0 3.2 -68.8% 4.0 4.3 -7.0%
Jimmy Butler 12.0 13.1 -8.6% 4.7 5.0 -5.8% 1.0 2.6 -61.6%
D.J. Augustin 12.0 14.9 -19.6% 1.5 2.1 -27.9% 3.5 4.9 -29.1%
Kirk Hinrich 10.0 9.2 8.5% 3.8 2.6 44.5% 4.2 3.9 9.2%
Mike Dunleavy 8.5 11.3 -24.9% 3.5 4.2 -16.3% 1.2 2.3 -44.5%
Tony Snell 3.5 4.5 -21.6% 2.0 1.6 24.8% 2.2 0.9 158.1%
Nazr Mohammed 0.5 1.5 -67.3% 2.0 2.2 -8.0% 0.5 0.2 102.5%

Miami Heat Stats vs. Chicago Bulls

Pts/Gm Reb/Gm Ast/Gm
Player vsCHI All %dif vsCHI All %dif vsCHI All %dif
Dwyane Wade 20.3 19.1 6.4% 6.3 4.4 44.5% 4.7 4.7 -0.1%
LeBron James 18.3 27.1 -32.4% 6.7 6.9 -4.1% 6.0 6.3 -4.5%
Chris Bosh 17.2 16.2 6.6% 5.8 6.6 -12.5% 0.5 1.1 -54.0%
Mario Chalmers 9.2 9.8 -5.3% 2.5 2.9 -14.7% 5.2 4.9 8.2%
Ray Allen 9.2 9.5 -2.4% 2.0 2.8 -28.5% 2.0 2.0 2.1%
Norris Cole 8.5 6.4 32.1% 2.2 1.9 16.0% 3.0 3.0 0.0%
Shane Battier 5.8 4.1 40.9% 1.2 1.9 -33.9% 0.5 0.9 -42.1%
Michael Beasley 5.5 7.9 -30.6% 3.2 3.1 3.9% 1.2 0.7 67.7%
Chris Andersen 5.0 6.6 -24.7% 8.0 5.3 50.1% 0.3 0.3 21.7%
Greg Oden 2.5 2.9 -14.2% 3.0 2.3 27.8% 0.0 0.0 -100.0%
Udonis Haslem 1.8 3.7 -53.0% 1.8 3.8 -53.8% 0.2 0.3 -16.1%
Rashard Lewis 0.8 4.4 -82.9% 0.8 1.8 -59.2% 0.0 0.9 -100.0%

Team Power Ratings

Rating CHI adv MIA
Overall 101.6 (#13) 103.6 (#7)
Predictive 101.1 (#13) 102.8 (#7)
Last 10 Games 101.7 (#13) 96.5 (#24)
Away Games 102.5 (#13) 102.7 (#12)
Home Games 100.7 (#15) 104.7 (#6)
Conference Games 102.2 (#13) 102.4 (#11)
Non-Conf Games 100.5 (#16) 105.5 (#2)
Schedule Strength 100.0 (#17) 100.1 (#15)

Offensive Stat Comparison

CHI MIA
Points/Game 93.7 102.2
Avg Score Margin +1.7 +4.8
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 9.7 13.1
Pts in Paint/Gm 37.4 45.0
Assists/Game 22.6 22.4
Total Rebounds/Gm 52.8 43.8
Effective FG % 47.1% 55.4%
Off Rebound % 27.3% 20.5%
FTA/FGA 0.290 0.301
Turnover % 14.0% 14.3%

Defensive Stat Comparison

CHI MIA
Opp Points/Game 92.0 97.3
Opp Effective FG % 47.2% 51.1%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 36.8 41.1
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.5 7.6
Def Rebounds/Gm 32.6 29.3
Blocks/Game 5.1 4.5
Steals/Game 7.2 8.9
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.2 19.4