NBA Playoffs Matchup Predictor - E5 Chicago vs. E1 Miami

Project Series:

VS

Current Series Win Odds

Miami currently has 91.5% odds to win this series.

Winner/Length Odds Of Projected Series


Similar Historical Results

Since the 2003-2004 season, there have been 41 games where the 5 seed played against the 1 seed. In those games:

  • The 5 seed has a straight up record of 12-29-0 (The 1 seed is 29-12-0 straight up)
  • The 5 seed has a record against the spread of 17-24-0 (The 1 seed is 24-17-0 ATS)
  • The game went over the total 19 times, under 21 times, and pushed 1 times

Regular Season Performance : Miami 2-2 Chicago

Date Winner HAN Score ATS O/U
Sun 4/14 Miami Home 105-93 Miami -9.5 Over 190.0
Wed 3/27 Chicago Home 101-97 Chicago +6.5 Over 186.0
Thu 2/21 Miami Away 86-67 Miami -3.5 Under 186.0
Fri 1/4 Chicago Away 96-89 Chicago +7.5 Under 189.5

Chicago Bulls Stats vs. Miami Heat

Pts/Gm Reb/Gm Ast/Gm
Player vsMIA All %dif vsMIA All %dif vsMIA All %dif
Carlos Boozer 16.8 16.2 3.3% 11.2 9.7 15.3% 1.6 2.2 -28.1%
Nate Robinson 14.6 13.5 7.8% 2.9 2.3 25.7% 4.1 4.4 -6.0%
Jimmy Butler 12.9 9.2 40.1% 5.4 4.1 31.2% 2.0 1.6 27.9%
Luol Deng 11.8 16.3 -27.7% 3.8 6.4 -40.9% 3.0 3.0 -0.4%
Joakim Noah 10.4 11.7 -10.9% 9.4 10.9 -13.3% 3.4 3.7 -7.8%
Marco Belinelli 8.5 9.8 -13.5% 2.1 2.1 3.2% 2.0 2.1 -5.0%
Kirk Hinrich 7.8 7.9 -1.6% 3.2 2.6 23.1% 4.5 5.3 -14.5%
Taj Gibson 6.1 7.7 -20.9% 4.3 4.9 -12.4% 0.8 0.8 -7.9%
Richard Hamilton 5.7 9.6 -40.2% 0.7 1.6 -55.1% 1.3 2.3 -44.0%
Nazr Mohammed 2.4 2.8 -13.5% 1.6 3.0 -48.6% 0.0 0.4 -100.0%
Daequan Cook 1.5 2.2 -31.2% 1.0 1.2 -15.2% 0.2 0.3 -25.0%
Vladimir Radmanovic 1.0 1.6 -38.1% 0.1 1.1 -89.7% 0.1 0.3 -67.9%
Marquis Teague 0.9 1.9 -54.3% 0.9 0.8 5.9% 0.9 1.3 -33.6%

Miami Heat Stats vs. Chicago Bulls

Pts/Gm Reb/Gm Ast/Gm
Player vsCHI All %dif vsCHI All %dif vsCHI All %dif
LeBron James 25.6 26.4 -3.3% 7.4 8.1 -7.5% 6.3 7.1 -10.7%
Dwyane Wade 15.8 19.9 -20.9% 4.3 4.9 -10.7% 4.3 5.1 -14.7%
Chris Bosh 14.1 15.8 -10.7% 7.2 6.8 5.6% 2.0 1.6 24.2%
Mario Chalmers 8.2 8.7 -5.0% 2.3 2.2 3.9% 4.0 3.5 15.3%
Norris Cole 7.9 5.7 38.8% 2.3 1.7 39.4% 1.1 2.0 -45.5%
Ray Allen 7.7 10.9 -29.5% 2.0 2.8 -27.5% 1.0 1.6 -36.7%
Chris Andersen 6.2 5.5 13.3% 3.0 4.0 -25.0% 0.2 0.3 -25.0%
Shane Battier 5.2 6.0 -11.9% 2.0 2.2 -7.1% 0.8 0.9 -16.9%
Udonis Haslem 3.8 4.2 -10.0% 2.9 5.0 -43.0% 0.5 0.5 9.1%
Mike Miller 2.2 4.5 -49.7% 1.4 2.4 -43.8% 0.9 1.5 -42.2%
Rashard Lewis 0.9 4.6 -80.6% 0.8 1.9 -59.9% 0.1 0.5 -78.4%
James Jones 0.3 1.5 -77.3% 0.2 0.5 -58.2% 0.0 0.3 -100.0%
Joel Anthony 0.0 1.2 -100.0% 0.6 1.8 -69.0% 0.0 0.2 -100.0%

Team Power Ratings

Rating CHI adv MIA
Overall 100.9 (#13) 107.9 (#1)
Predictive 100.2 (#15) 105.6 (#1)
Last 10 Games 101.5 (#11) 106.4 (#2)
Away Games 103.0 (#8) 108.2 (#1)
Home Games 98.6 (#18) 107.5 (#2)
Conference Games 102.2 (#11) 106.8 (#1)
Non-Conf Games 97.8 (#23) 109.9 (#1)
Schedule Strength 100.5 (#11) 100.6 (#9)

Offensive Stat Comparison

CHI MIA
Points/Game 93.0 101.7
Avg Score Margin -0.6 +7.6
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 9.8 11.9
Pts in Paint/Gm 39.5 41.2
Assists/Game 22.6 22.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 51.6 46.4
Effective FG % 47.0% 54.5%
Off Rebound % 29.2% 22.8%
FTA/FGA 0.263 0.300
Turnover % 13.5% 13.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

CHI MIA
Opp Points/Game 93.6 94.1
Opp Effective FG % 48.0% 48.7%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 39.6 39.5
Off Rebounds/Gm 12.4 8.5
Def Rebounds/Gm 30.4 29.9
Blocks/Game 5.0 5.4
Steals/Game 7.1 8.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 20.1 19.4