NBA Playoffs Matchup Predictor - E1 Miami vs. W2 San Antonio

Project Series:

VS

Current Series Win Odds

Miami currently has 67.2% odds to win this series.

Winner/Length Odds Of Projected Series


Similar Historical Results

Since the 2003-2004 season, there have been 53 games where the 1 seed played against the 2 seed. In those games:

  • The 1 seed has a straight up record of 21-32-0 (The 2 seed is 32-21-0 straight up)
  • The 1 seed has a record against the spread of 17-36-0 (The 2 seed is 36-17-0 ATS)
  • The game went over the total 23 times, under 29 times, and pushed 1 times

Regular Season Performance : Miami 2-0 San Antonio

Date Winner HAN Score ATS O/U
Sun 3/31 Miami Away 88-86 Miami +1.5 Under 194.0
Thu 11/29 Miami Home 105-100 San Antonio +6.0 Over 202.0

Miami Heat Stats vs. San Antonio Spurs

Pts/Gm Reb/Gm Ast/Gm
Player vsSAS All %dif vsSAS All %dif vsSAS All %dif
Chris Bosh 20.5 16.3 25.9% 10.5 6.9 51.3% 2.0 1.7 21.2%
Ray Allen 17.0 11.1 53.8% 1.5 2.8 -45.7% 3.0 1.7 78.4%
LeBron James 11.5 26.5 -56.6% 4.5 8.0 -43.4% 3.5 7.3 -51.8%
Norris Cole 10.5 5.9 78.3% 1.5 1.7 -12.2% 3.0 2.0 48.3%
Dwyane Wade 9.5 20.4 -53.3% 2.5 5.0 -49.6% 2.5 5.1 -51.3%
Mario Chalmers 8.0 8.5 -5.6% 1.0 2.3 -55.7% 4.0 3.6 11.0%
Mike Miller 7.0 4.6 52.9% 2.0 2.6 -22.0% 3.0 1.7 81.1%
Udonis Haslem 6.0 4.1 45.7% 5.5 5.2 5.2% 0.0 0.5 -100.0%
Shane Battier 6.0 6.4 -6.9% 2.0 2.3 -11.5% 1.0 1.0 5.2%
Rashard Lewis 5.0 4.9 1.7% 3.0 2.1 44.0% 2.0 0.5 287.1%
Chris Andersen 4.0 5.3 -24.4% 5.0 4.0 24.4% 1.0 0.4 155.0%

San Antonio Spurs Stats vs. Miami Heat

Pts/Gm Reb/Gm Ast/Gm
Player vsMIA All %dif vsMIA All %dif vsMIA All %dif
Kawhi Leonard 17.0 12.2 39.0% 11.0 6.3 74.6% 1.0 1.5 -35.2%
Gary Neal 12.5 9.0 38.9% 2.5 2.1 17.0% 4.5 1.7 162.8%
Tiago Splitter 12.5 9.9 26.4% 9.5 6.1 56.9% 2.0 1.6 24.7%
Nando de Colo 9.0 3.7 141.1% 3.5 1.9 86.2% 3.5 1.9 88.8%
Tim Duncan 8.5 17.7 -52.1% 6.0 9.8 -39.0% 2.0 2.6 -22.1%
Boris Diaw 7.0 5.6 24.9% 5.0 3.3 50.9% 1.5 2.3 -36.2%
Danny Green 6.0 10.5 -42.8% 1.5 3.2 -52.9% 1.0 1.8 -43.6%
Tony Parker 6.0 20.5 -70.7% 2.5 3.1 -20.4% 4.0 7.6 -47.0%
Matt Bonner 5.0 4.3 14.9% 5.5 1.9 183.9% 1.0 0.5 100.0%
Patrick Mills 3.5 4.6 -24.7% 0.5 0.8 -37.5% 1.0 1.0 1.6%
DeJuan Blair 3.0 5.2 -42.3% 1.5 3.5 -57.3% 0.0 0.7 -100.0%
Cory Joseph 1.5 4.2 -64.7% 1.0 1.9 -47.4% 1.0 1.8 -43.7%

Team Power Ratings

Rating MIA adv SAS
Overall 108.7 (#1) 106.4 (#2)
Predictive 105.8 (#1) 104.6 (#3)
Last 10 Games 111.7 (#1) 111.0 (#3)
Away Games 109.1 (#1) 105.7 (#3)
Home Games 108.0 (#2) 107.3 (#3)
Conference Games 107.3 (#1) 105.5 (#5)
Non-Conf Games 111.5 (#1) 109.2 (#2)
Schedule Strength 99.9 (#23) 100.9 (#6)

Offensive Stat Comparison

MIA SAS
Points/Game 102.5 102.9
Avg Score Margin +8.4 +6.9
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 12.0 13.7
Pts in Paint/Gm 41.6 43.9
Assists/Game 23.1 24.9
Total Rebounds/Gm 46.8 49.2
Effective FG % 55.1% 52.8%
Off Rebound % 22.7% 20.7%
FTA/FGA 0.304 0.258
Turnover % 13.7% 13.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

MIA SAS
Opp Points/Game 94.1 96.0
Opp Effective FG % 48.4% 47.8%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 39.5 40.0
Off Rebounds/Gm 8.4 8.3
Def Rebounds/Gm 30.3 33.2
Blocks/Game 5.4 5.4
Steals/Game 8.7 8.5
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.1 17.7