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NBA Playoffs Matchup Predictor - E2 Miami vs. W1 San Antonio

Project Series:

VS

Current Series Win Odds

San Antonio currently has 75.8% odds to win this series.

Winner/Length Odds Of Projected Series


Similar Historical Results

Since the 2003-2004 season, there have been 77 games where the 2 seed played against the 1 seed. In those games:

  • The 2 seed has a straight up record of 42-35-0 (The 1 seed is 35-42-0 straight up)
  • The 2 seed has a record against the spread of 47-30-0 (The 1 seed is 30-47-0 ATS)
  • The game went over the total 35 times, under 41 times, and pushed 1 times

Regular Season Performance : San Antonio 1-1 Miami

Date Winner HAN Score ATS O/U
Thu 3/6 San Antonio Home 111-87 San Antonio -3.5 Under 206.0
Sun 1/26 Miami Home 113-101 Miami -3.5 Over 205.0

Miami Heat Stats vs. San Antonio Spurs

Pts/Gm Reb/Gm Ast/Gm
Player vsSAS All %dif vsSAS All %dif vsSAS All %dif
LeBron James 25.4 27.2 -6.5% 7.7 6.9 11.0% 4.7 6.0 -21.7%
Chris Bosh 16.9 15.9 5.7% 5.4 6.4 -15.2% 1.3 1.1 17.9%
Dwyane Wade 14.3 18.7 -23.6% 3.6 4.3 -16.6% 3.6 4.4 -19.7%
Michael Beasley 10.7 7.6 40.8% 4.3 3.0 45.3% 1.0 0.7 37.2%
Ray Allen 9.3 9.5 -2.5% 2.7 2.9 -7.2% 2.4 1.9 29.1%
Mario Chalmers 6.1 9.1 -32.3% 1.4 2.8 -48.7% 3.4 4.6 -25.7%
Rashard Lewis 6.1 4.7 32.0% 1.1 1.9 -39.8% 0.3 0.8 -64.1%
Norris Cole 3.9 6.1 -36.4% 1.7 1.8 -3.9% 1.9 2.8 -33.1%
Chris Andersen 3.9 6.3 -39.0% 5.6 5.4 3.2% 0.0 0.3 -100.0%
James Jones 2.2 4.3 -48.7% 0.4 1.0 -58.8% 0.0 0.4 -100.0%
Toney Douglas 0.7 3.4 -80.1% 0.5 1.8 -71.5% 0.3 1.5 -77.2%
Udonis Haslem 0.6 3.4 -83.4% 0.6 3.5 -83.6% 0.0 0.3 -100.0%
Greg Oden 0.5 2.6 -80.6% 0.5 2.1 -76.4% 0.0 0.1 -100.0%
Shane Battier 0.0 3.8 -100.0% 0.6 1.7 -65.6% 0.1 0.8 -81.3%

San Antonio Spurs Stats vs. Miami Heat

Pts/Gm Reb/Gm Ast/Gm
Player vsMIA All %dif vsMIA All %dif vsMIA All %dif
Tim Duncan 17.6 15.4 14.2% 9.1 9.6 -4.7% 1.7 2.7 -37.0%
Tony Parker 16.9 16.9 0.0% 0.6 2.2 -74.0% 4.9 5.5 -11.6%
Kawhi Leonard 16.7 13.2 26.6% 6.2 6.4 -3.2% 1.7 1.9 -13.3%
Manu Ginobili 11.6 12.8 -9.8% 2.3 3.0 -24.9% 3.9 4.3 -9.3%
Patrick Mills 9.0 9.6 -5.8% 2.7 2.0 38.4% 1.7 1.8 -2.0%
Boris Diaw 8.9 9.1 -2.6% 7.4 4.3 73.0% 5.3 2.9 79.7%
Danny Green 8.7 9.1 -5.1% 2.2 3.3 -33.8% 1.5 1.4 9.2%
Tiago Splitter 6.3 8.0 -20.8% 3.2 6.1 -48.4% 2.3 1.7 40.7%
Marco Belinelli 6.1 10.1 -38.9% 1.6 2.7 -41.8% 1.3 1.9 -33.1%
Jeff Ayres 2.0 2.9 -30.0% 1.0 3.1 -67.5% 0.5 0.7 -30.8%
Aron Baynes 1.7 2.9 -40.5% 1.3 2.6 -51.1% 0.3 0.5 -43.7%
Matt Bonner 1.4 2.7 -47.1% 0.7 1.7 -58.8% 0.7 0.5 41.2%
Cory Joseph 1.1 4.6 -75.2% 0.3 1.4 -79.1% 0.3 1.4 -80.3%

Team Power Ratings

Rating MIA adv SAS
Predictive -- (#--) -- (#--)
Last 10 Games -- (#--) -- (#--)
Away Games -- (#--) -- (#--)
Home Games -- (#--) -- (#--)
Division Games -- (#--) -- (#--)
Non-Division Games -- (#--) -- (#--)
First Half -- (#--) -- (#--)
Second Half -- (#--) -- (#--)
Schedule Strength (Past) -- (#--) -- (#--)
Schedule Strength (Future) -- (#--) -- (#--)
Luck Rating -- (#--) -- (#--)
Consistency Rating -- (#--) -- (#--)

Offensive Stat Comparison

MIA SAS
Points/Game 101.4 105.6
Avg Score Margin +4.4 +8.0
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 12.5 13.1
Pts in Paint/Gm 43.8 45.6
Assists/Game 21.8 24.5
Total Rebounds/Gm 43.1 49.7
Effective FG % 55.5% 53.9%
Off Rebound % 20.0% 22.9%
FTA/FGA 0.301 0.250
Turnover % 14.1% 13.1%

Defensive Stat Comparison

MIA SAS
Opp Points/Game 97.0 97.6
Opp Effective FG % 51.6% 48.4%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 40.5 41.4
Off Rebounds/Gm 7.3 9.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 28.9 33.7
Blocks/Game 4.4 4.8
Steals/Game 8.7 7.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.7 18.5