NBA Playoffs Matchup Predictor - E2 Miami vs. E1 Indiana

Project Series:

VS

Current Series Win Odds

Miami currently has 57.9% odds to win this series.

Winner/Length Odds Of Projected Series


Similar Historical Results

Since the 2003-2004 season, there have been 60 games where the 2 seed played against the 1 seed. In those games:

  • The 2 seed has a straight up record of 35-25-0 (The 1 seed is 25-35-0 straight up)
  • The 2 seed has a record against the spread of 40-20-0 (The 1 seed is 20-40-0 ATS)
  • The game went over the total 27 times, under 32 times, and pushed 1 times

Regular Season Performance : Indiana 2-2 Miami

Date Winner HAN Score ATS O/U
Fri 4/11 Miami Home 98-86 Miami -5.5 Over 181.5
Wed 3/26 Indiana Home 84-83 Miami +2.0 Under 186.5
Wed 12/18 Miami Home 97-94 Indiana +4.0 Over 190.5
Tue 12/10 Indiana Home 90-84 Indiana -3.5 Under 191.5

Miami Heat Stats vs. Indiana Pacers

Pts/Gm Reb/Gm Ast/Gm
Player vsIND All %dif vsIND All %dif vsIND All %dif
LeBron James 28.8 27.1 6.0% 9.2 6.9 33.6% 4.8 6.4 -25.2%
Dwyane Wade 21.3 19.1 11.7% 4.3 4.5 -3.5% 2.7 4.7 -43.0%
Chris Bosh 11.2 16.2 -30.6% 5.0 6.6 -24.3% 1.0 1.1 -9.2%
Mario Chalmers 7.8 9.8 -21.0% 3.5 2.9 19.4% 3.5 4.9 -28.4%
Ray Allen 6.7 9.6 -30.4% 4.0 2.8 42.6% 2.3 1.9 20.0%
Chris Andersen 6.5 6.6 -1.9% 4.2 5.3 -19.3% 0.0 0.3 -100.0%
Norris Cole 5.0 6.4 -22.4% 1.5 1.9 -22.6% 2.5 3.0 -17.0%
Udonis Haslem 3.5 3.7 -5.1% 3.8 3.7 2.3% 0.0 0.3 -100.0%
Toney Douglas 3.5 3.9 -9.9% 0.5 2.3 -78.0% 1.5 1.7 -13.3%
Rashard Lewis 3.2 4.5 -27.2% 2.5 1.8 36.4% 0.8 0.9 -21.1%
Shane Battier 1.2 4.0 -68.9% 0.2 1.9 -86.9% 0.0 0.9 -100.0%

Indiana Pacers Stats vs. Miami Heat

Pts/Gm Reb/Gm Ast/Gm
Player vsMIA All %dif vsMIA All %dif vsMIA All %dif
Paul George 21.8 21.7 0.2% 6.0 6.8 -11.6% 4.8 3.5 34.3%
David West 17.8 14.0 27.0% 7.2 6.8 7.0% 3.0 2.8 7.6%
Roy Hibbert 14.0 10.8 29.2% 3.0 6.6 -54.8% 0.8 1.1 -34.1%
Lance Stephenson 12.8 13.8 -7.9% 5.2 7.2 -26.6% 3.0 4.6 -34.8%
Luis Scola 6.8 7.6 -11.2% 4.2 4.7 -9.9% 0.5 1.0 -47.4%
C.J. Watson 6.0 6.6 -8.7% 1.7 1.6 4.0% 0.7 1.7 -60.7%
Evan Turner 5.5 6.8 -19.7% 2.0 3.0 -33.3% 1.5 2.2 -32.8%
George Hill 3.5 10.3 -66.2% 3.8 3.7 0.8% 3.8 3.5 6.9%
Ian Mahinmi 2.2 3.5 -36.3% 3.8 3.3 12.4% 0.5 0.3 60.4%
Rasual Butler 1.2 2.4 -47.6% 0.8 0.8 -5.8% 0.0 0.2 -100.0%

Team Power Ratings

Rating MIA adv IND
Overall 103.9 (#6) 103.3 (#9)
Predictive 103.1 (#5) 102.0 (#10)
Last 10 Games 99.6 (#18) 96.7 (#23)
Away Games 102.8 (#12) 100.8 (#14)
Home Games 105.4 (#6) 106.8 (#5)
Conference Games 102.9 (#11) 103.1 (#10)
Non-Conf Games 105.6 (#2) 103.7 (#8)
Schedule Strength 100.3 (#12) 100.0 (#15)

Offensive Stat Comparison

MIA IND
Points/Game 102.4 96.7
Avg Score Margin +5.0 +4.3
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 13.3 9.6
Pts in Paint/Gm 45.4 38.3
Assists/Game 22.6 20.1
Total Rebounds/Gm 43.8 53.0
Effective FG % 55.5% 49.0%
Off Rebound % 20.5% 24.8%
FTA/FGA 0.300 0.292
Turnover % 14.3% 14.2%

Defensive Stat Comparison

MIA IND
Opp Points/Game 97.4 92.4
Opp Effective FG % 51.0% 46.0%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 41.0 35.7
Off Rebounds/Gm 7.6 10.1
Def Rebounds/Gm 29.3 34.5
Blocks/Game 4.5 5.5
Steals/Game 8.9 6.7
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.5 20.5