NBA Playoffs Matchup Predictor - E2 Miami vs. E1 Indiana

Project Series:

VS

Current Series Win Odds

Miami currently has 53.8% odds to win this series.

Winner/Length Odds Of Projected Series


Similar Historical Results

Since the 2003-2004 season, there have been 60 games where the 2 seed played against the 1 seed. In those games:

  • The 2 seed has a straight up record of 35-25-0 (The 1 seed is 25-35-0 straight up)
  • The 2 seed has a record against the spread of 40-20-0 (The 1 seed is 20-40-0 ATS)
  • The game went over the total 27 times, under 32 times, and pushed 1 times

Regular Season Performance : Indiana 2-2 Miami

Date Winner HAN Score ATS O/U
Fri 4/11 Miami Home 98-86 Miami -5.5 Over 181.5
Wed 3/26 Indiana Home 84-83 Miami +2.0 Under 186.5
Wed 12/18 Miami Home 97-94 Indiana +4.0 Over 190.5
Tue 12/10 Indiana Home 90-84 Indiana -3.5 Under 191.5

Miami Heat Stats vs. Indiana Pacers

Pts/Gm Reb/Gm Ast/Gm
Player vsIND All %dif vsIND All %dif vsIND All %dif
LeBron James 28.8 27.1 6.0% 9.2 6.9 33.1% 4.8 6.3 -24.4%
Dwyane Wade 21.3 19.1 11.6% 4.3 4.4 -1.1% 2.7 4.7 -42.9%
Chris Bosh 11.2 16.2 -30.4% 5.0 6.6 -24.0% 1.0 1.1 -8.0%
Mario Chalmers 7.8 9.8 -20.7% 3.5 2.9 19.4% 3.5 4.9 -27.9%
Ray Allen 6.7 9.5 -29.6% 4.0 2.8 43.0% 2.3 2.0 19.1%
Chris Andersen 6.5 6.6 -2.2% 4.2 5.3 -20.2% 0.0 0.3 -100.0%
Norris Cole 5.0 6.4 -22.3% 1.5 1.9 -22.7% 2.5 3.0 -16.7%
Toney Douglas 3.5 4.2 -17.1% 0.5 2.3 -77.9% 1.5 1.8 -17.3%
Udonis Haslem 3.5 3.7 -6.0% 3.8 3.8 -1.0% 0.0 0.3 -100.0%
Rashard Lewis 3.2 4.4 -26.0% 2.5 1.8 36.2% 0.8 0.9 -19.7%
Shane Battier 1.2 4.1 -69.4% 0.2 1.9 -86.8% 0.0 0.9 -100.0%

Indiana Pacers Stats vs. Miami Heat

Pts/Gm Reb/Gm Ast/Gm
Player vsMIA All %dif vsMIA All %dif vsMIA All %dif
Paul George 21.8 21.8 -0.3% 6.0 6.9 -12.6% 4.8 3.6 32.5%
David West 17.8 13.8 28.4% 7.2 6.7 8.7% 3.0 2.8 5.6%
Roy Hibbert 14.0 10.7 31.3% 3.0 6.6 -54.7% 0.8 1.1 -32.3%
Lance Stephenson 12.8 13.8 -7.8% 5.2 7.1 -26.1% 3.0 4.6 -34.2%
Luis Scola 6.8 7.7 -12.5% 4.2 4.8 -10.5% 0.5 1.0 -48.8%
C.J. Watson 6.0 6.6 -9.3% 1.7 1.6 2.2% 0.7 1.7 -61.0%
Evan Turner 5.5 7.0 -21.8% 2.0 3.3 -38.9% 1.5 2.4 -37.0%
George Hill 3.5 10.4 -66.2% 3.8 3.7 0.9% 3.8 3.5 7.9%
Ian Mahinmi 2.2 3.5 -36.1% 3.8 3.3 12.6% 0.5 0.3 64.6%
Rasual Butler 1.2 2.7 -53.1% 0.8 0.8 -6.7% 0.0 0.3 -100.0%

Team Power Ratings

Rating MIA adv IND
Overall 103.6 (#7) 103.2 (#9)
Predictive 102.8 (#7) 102.0 (#10)
Last 10 Games 96.5 (#24) 98.4 (#18)
Away Games 102.7 (#12) 100.9 (#14)
Home Games 104.7 (#6) 106.1 (#4)
Conference Games 102.4 (#11) 102.9 (#9)
Non-Conf Games 105.5 (#2) 103.7 (#8)
Schedule Strength 100.1 (#15) 99.9 (#18)

Offensive Stat Comparison

MIA IND
Points/Game 102.2 96.8
Avg Score Margin +4.8 +4.4
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 13.1 9.6
Pts in Paint/Gm 45.0 38.4
Assists/Game 22.4 20.2
Total Rebounds/Gm 43.8 53.0
Effective FG % 55.4% 49.1%
Off Rebound % 20.5% 24.9%
FTA/FGA 0.301 0.291
Turnover % 14.3% 14.2%

Defensive Stat Comparison

MIA IND
Opp Points/Game 97.3 92.4
Opp Effective FG % 51.1% 46.0%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 41.1 35.5
Off Rebounds/Gm 7.6 10.2
Def Rebounds/Gm 29.3 34.4
Blocks/Game 4.5 5.4
Steals/Game 8.9 6.7
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.4 20.5