NBA Odds Movement

Results Based on Opening Over/Under Line

Opening Over/Under of 0-185.5
Movement # Games Over Record Over %
3+ toward the Over 20 11-9-0 55.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Over 23 15-8-0 65.2%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Over 56 32-23-1 58.2%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 34 18-14-2 56.2%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Under 40 23-17-0 57.5%
2 or 2.5 toward the Under 18 10-8-0 55.6%
3+ toward the Under 8 2-6-0 25.0%
Total 199 111-85-3 56.6%

Opening Over/Under of 186-190.5
Movement # Games Over Record Over %
3+ toward the Over 32 18-13-1 58.1%
2 or 2.5 toward the Over 30 18-12-0 60.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Over 99 48-50-1 49.0%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 63 34-29-0 54.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Under 96 51-44-1 53.7%
2 or 2.5 toward the Under 17 10-7-0 58.8%
3+ toward the Under 22 10-10-2 50.0%
Total 359 189-165-5 53.4%

Opening Over/Under of 191-195.5
Movement # Games Over Record Over %
3+ toward the Over 44 23-21-0 52.3%
2 or 2.5 toward the Over 37 22-14-1 61.1%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Over 165 66-94-5 41.2%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 84 44-39-1 53.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Under 145 74-69-2 51.7%
2 or 2.5 toward the Under 37 21-15-1 58.3%
3+ toward the Under 36 15-21-0 41.7%
Total 548 265-273-10 49.3%

Opening Over/Under of 196-200.5
Movement # Games Over Record Over %
3+ toward the Over 38 21-17-0 55.3%
2 or 2.5 toward the Over 49 22-23-4 48.9%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Over 108 49-58-1 45.8%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 57 31-23-3 57.4%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Under 112 59-52-1 53.2%
2 or 2.5 toward the Under 51 27-22-2 55.1%
3+ toward the Under 40 21-19-0 52.5%
Total 455 230-214-11 51.8%

Opening Over/Under of 201-205.5
Movement # Games Over Record Over %
3+ toward the Over 37 16-21-0 43.2%
2 or 2.5 toward the Over 43 21-22-0 48.8%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Over 90 41-48-1 46.1%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 40 15-25-0 37.5%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Under 90 48-40-2 54.5%
2 or 2.5 toward the Under 29 11-18-0 37.9%
3+ toward the Under 36 22-14-0 61.1%
Total 365 174-188-3 48.1%

Opening Over/Under of 206+
Movement # Games Over Record Over %
3+ toward the Over 68 34-34-0 50.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Over 80 41-35-4 53.9%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Over 209 100-105-4 48.8%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 83 38-42-3 47.5%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Under 210 105-98-7 51.7%
2 or 2.5 toward the Under 85 36-49-0 42.4%
3+ toward the Under 70 39-30-1 56.5%
Total 805 393-393-19 50.0%

About the Over/Under Movement Data

These tables show the number of games that went over the totals line, based on the difference between the opening and closing totals line, as well has how high that line opened.

The data is grouped into separate tables based on the opening totals line, ranging from games with low totals to those with high totals. Within the tables, each line represents a different amount of movement away from that original total, ranging from a large move toward the over to a large move toward the under.

Over Record and Over % refer to the number of games that went over vs. under for each matching scenario. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Over %.