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NBA Odds Movement

We have opening and closing point spreads for 2731 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 1332-1348-51 and covered the spread 49.7% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-7.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
-4.5 2 2-0-0 100.0%
-4 4 2-2-0 50.0%
-3.5 4 3-1-0 75.0%
-3 9 3-6-0 33.3%
-2.5 30 15-15-0 50.0%
-2 58 28-27-3 50.9%
-1.5 133 66-66-1 50.0%
-1 313 146-161-6 47.6%
-0.5 523 261-251-11 51.0%
0 651 314-325-12 49.1%
0.5 501 260-236-5 52.4%
1 263 116-138-9 45.7%
1.5 88 46-42-0 52.3%
2 46 18-27-1 40.0%
2.5 47 25-22-0 53.2%
3 23 10-11-2 47.6%
3.5 17 8-8-1 50.0%
4 9 4-5-0 44.4%
4.5 5 3-2-0 60.0%
5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
6.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
7.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
8 1 1-0-0 100.0%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.