Game Information
| Date | Saturday, December 19, 2009 |
| Time | 9:00 PM |
| Location | US Airways Center, Phoenix, AZ |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 717 | WAS | +10.5 | 219.0 | +498 |
| 718 | PHO | -10.5 | -600 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix | Power Rating Model | Phoenix 76% odds to win | |
| Phoenix | Similar Games - Game Winners | Phoenix 86% odds to win | |
| Phoenix | Decision Tree | Phoenix 82% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS +10.5 | Power Rating Model | Washington loses by 7.9 | |
| PHO -10.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Phoenix 63% odds to cover | |
| WAS +10.5 | Decision Tree | Washington 54% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 219.0 | Decision Tree | 58% odds to go under 219.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS +480 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | WAS | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.012 | 1.115 | |
| Effective FG % | 47.8% | 54.3% | |
| Turnover % | 13.0% | 13.1% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.7% | 27.7% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.288 | 0.310 | |
| Points/Game | 96.3 | 110.1 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.7 | +4.0 | |
| SOS PR | 99.5 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | WAS | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.062 | 1.075 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.9% | 49.4% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.9% | 11.1% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.3% | 70.5% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.313 | 0.294 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 101.1 | 106.0 | |
| Block % | 6.5% | 6.0% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.1% | 18.5% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | WAS | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-46 | 43-26 | |
| vs Division | 3-9 | 11-4 | |
| vs Conference | 15-27 | 28-16 | |
| Streak | L10 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 0-10 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 12-22 | 27-9 | |
| Away | 9-24 | 16-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | WAS | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 28-37-2 | 40-29-0 | |
| vs Division | 5-7-0 | 8-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 18-24-0 | 27-17-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 13-21-0 | 21-15-0 | |
| Away | 15-16-2 | 19-14-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||