Game Information
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | AT&T Center, San Antonio, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 709 | WAS | +7.5 | 195.0 | +321 |
| 710 | SAN | -7.5 | -369 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio | Power Rating Model | San Antonio 72% odds to win | |
| San Antonio | Similar Games - Game Winners | San Antonio 80% odds to win | |
| San Antonio | Decision Tree | San Antonio 72% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS +7.5 | Power Rating Model | Washington loses by 6.0 | |
| SAN -7.5 | Similar Games - ATS | San Antonio 57% odds to cover | |
| SAN -7.5 | Decision Tree | San Antonio 50% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 195.0 | Decision Tree | 56% odds to go under 195.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS +285 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | WAS | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.013 | 1.071 | |
| Effective FG % | 47.8% | 51.6% | |
| Turnover % | 13.0% | 12.2% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.7% | 26.7% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.287 | 0.289 | |
| Points/Game | 96.3 | 101.4 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.8 | +4.9 | |
| SOS PR | 99.6 | 100.3 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | WAS | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.063 | 1.020 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.1% | 48.4% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.0% | 11.6% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.3% | 76.3% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.313 | 0.282 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 101.0 | 96.6 | |
| Block % | 6.4% | 5.8% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.0% | 19.4% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | WAS | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-47 | 41-27 | |
| vs Division | 3-9 | 8-5 | |
| vs Conference | 15-27 | 25-17 | |
| Streak | L11 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 0-10 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 12-22 | 25-10 | |
| Away | 9-25 | 16-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | WAS | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 29-37-2 | 34-33-1 | |
| vs Division | 5-7-0 | 8-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 18-24-0 | 22-19-1 | |
| Streak | W3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 13-21-0 | 20-14-1 | |
| Away | 16-16-2 | 14-19-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||