| Date | Sunday, December 6, 2009 |
| Time | 6:00 PM |
| Location | Palace of Auburn Hills, Auburn Hills, MI |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 505 | WAS | +2.5 | 191.5 | +129 |
| 506 | DET | -2.5 | -143 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit | Power Rating Model | Detroit 66% odds to win | |
| Detroit | Similar Games - Game Winners | Detroit 59% odds to win | |
| Detroit | Decision Tree | Detroit 61% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET -3.0 | Power Rating Model | Detroit wins by 4.0 | |
| DET -2.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Detroit 54% odds to cover | |
| WAS +2.5 | Decision Tree | Washington 50% odds to cover |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 191.5 | Decision Tree | 50% odds to go under 191.5 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET -147 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
| Stat | WAS | adv | DET |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.014 | 1.016 | |
| Effective FG % | 47.9% | 47.0% | |
| Turnover % | 13.0% | 12.5% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.7% | 30.9% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.288 | 0.305 | |
| Points/Game | 96.7 | 93.5 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.8 | -5.0 | |
| SOS PR | 99.4 | 99.6 |
| Stat | WAS | adv | DET |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.064 | 1.070 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.2% | 51.7% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.0% | 13.4% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.4% | 73.5% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.312 | 0.346 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 101.4 | 98.5 | |
| Block % | 6.5% | 5.1% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.1% | 22.2% |
| Record | WAS | adv | DET |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-45 | 23-45 | |
| vs Division | 3-9 | 2-10 | |
| vs Conference | 15-27 | 15-25 | |
| Streak | L9 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 12-22 | 16-19 | |
| Away | 9-23 | 7-26 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | WAS | adv | DET |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 27-37-2 | 28-38-2 | |
| vs Division | 5-7-0 | 3-8-1 | |
| vs Conference | 18-24-0 | 16-22-2 | |
| Streak | W1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 13-21-0 | 15-19-1 | |
| Away | 14-16-2 | 13-19-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||